Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.220112 0.260963 0.304628 0.354499 0.409607 0.468379 0.535531
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.167557 0.222785 0.286127 0.363038 0.452810 0.553252 0.673092
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.130485 0.194107 0.272090 0.372076 0.494302 0.636449 0.811833
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.096561 0.162311 0.248718 0.365632 0.514916 0.694729 0.923215
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.074976 0.142077 0.236251 0.369939 0.547112 0.766777 1.052572
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.055598 0.120519 0.218312 0.364097 0.564465 0.819794 1.159329
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.038950 0.098827 0.196433 0.349633 0.568080 0.854030 1.242331
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.030719 0.089236 0.191008 0.357260 0.600930 0.926206 1.374565
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.021843 0.075543 0.176645 0.349658 0.611192 0.967895 1.467568
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.018313 0.071914 0.178528 0.366660 0.656732 1.057731 1.625088
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013557 0.063586 0.170644 0.367079 0.677474 1.113668 1.738277
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.009964 0.056555 0.163894 0.368376 0.698970 1.170596 1.853317
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.007784 0.052701 0.163044 0.379908 0.737086 1.252785 2.005727
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006103 0.049532 0.163057 0.392740 0.777471 1.338962 2.165030
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004697 0.046433 0.162684 0.404684 0.816684 1.424157 2.324311
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002910 0.039893 0.153303 0.399319 0.827855 1.468751 2.427853
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001965 0.036251 0.149998 0.404783 0.856367 1.538937 2.567888
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001060 0.030963 0.141362 0.399113 0.866058 1.581208 2.669001
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000402 0.024824 0.128696 0.384037 0.858973 1.597796 2.733471
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000218 0.022929 0.127646 0.392358 0.891619 1.674609 2.884708
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.019006 0.119237 0.384375 0.895598 1.707589 2.973105
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.018793 0.122903 0.402564 0.945746 1.812101 3.166051
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000003 0.016477 0.118700 0.403055 0.964479 1.868246 3.289241